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FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
GT

Cambridge
1 - 2
Grimsby Town

Smith (81')
Digby (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khan (61', 90')
Green (29'), Waterfall (45+2'), McAtee (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Cambridge United 1-0 Grimsby Town

In a match that could help to turn round the fortunes of both Cambridge and Grimsby, we expect a cagey affair as both sides are low on confidence due to recent results. On this occasion, Cambridge will do just enough to book their place in the third round of the FA Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
27.79% (0.00099999999999767 0) 25.33% (0.004999999999999 0) 46.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.18% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)50.07% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)72.05% (0.012 0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.37% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)68.88% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)21.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)54.35% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 27.79%
    Grimsby Town 46.87%
    Draw 25.33%
Cambridge UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 4.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.79%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 8.24%
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 46.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Curzon Ashton (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Cambridge
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-3 Cambridge
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Doncaster
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Man City U21s (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Grimsby Town 5-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two


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