Grimsby have one of the worst home records in the division, picking up just seven points from eight matches at Blundell Park so far this season.
Stevenage's form is difficult to ignore, and we believe the visitors will have too much for their opponents on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
-0.14) 
0.16) 
