Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
