Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.