Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
