Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newport County in this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Bristol Rovers
49.36%	24.04%	26.6%

Both teams to score 56.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.61%

45.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.27%

67.73%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53%

18.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.33%

49.66%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17%

30.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.89%

67.1%

Score Analysis

Newport County 49.36%

Bristol Rovers 26.6%

Draw 24.04%

Newport County	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 5.38% 3-0 @ 4.57% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.4% Total : 49.36%	1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 6.7% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.93% Total : 26.6%