Crawley may have won three of their last four matches, but all of those wins took place on home turf and with Newport determined to keep hold of their playoff spot, we think that the hosts will edge out the Reds on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Crawley Town
54.76%	23.11%	22.13%

Both teams to score 54.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.44%

45.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.11%

67.89%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.48%

16.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.73%

46.27%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.29%

34.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.57%

71.44%

Score Analysis

Newport County 54.75%

Crawley Town 22.13%

Draw 23.1%

Newport County	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 5.9% 3-0 @ 5.58% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 0.96% 5-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.27% Total : 54.75%	1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 5.74% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.1%	0-1 @ 6.07% 1-2 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.13%