In a match that will be an intriguing watch, we expect both sides to create plenty of opportunities as they look to book their place in the next round of the EFL Trophy.
Nevertheless, MK Dons will narrowly prevail and give their fans some respite from their recent poor form.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
0.04) 
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