Tranmere have developed a habit of winning games by narrow margins in recent matches, and we think that they will do the same here. Rochdale are showing signs of improvement under Jim Bentley, and they will make it tough for their opponents, but they will just about come up short.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.