Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
-0.07) 
0.14) 
