SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
30.74% ( -0.52) | 25.3% ( 0.15) | 43.96% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.59% ( -0.87) | 48.41% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.45% ( -0.8) | 70.55% ( 0.8) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( -0.79) | 29.38% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.63% ( -0.97) | 65.37% ( 0.97) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( -0.19) | 21.99% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.7% ( -0.29) | 55.3% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.74% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.96% |
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