In a match that could hold significance at both ends of the table, we expect an open affair between two sides with a point to prove this weekend.
Crawley will put in an improved display on recent showings, however, it will not be enough to prevent Swindon from claiming all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
-0.52) 
0.15) 
