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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
43.26% ( 0.03) | 25.68% ( -0.01) | 31.06% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.07% ( 0.05) | 49.93% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.08% ( 0.05) | 71.91% ( -0.04) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( 0.04) | 22.98% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( 0.05) | 56.76% ( -0.05) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.07% ( 0.02) | 29.93% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( 0.02) | 66.04% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 43.26% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0)0-2 @ 5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 31.06% |
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