SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.67%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.38%) and 1-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
56.67% ( -0.18) | 20.63% ( -0.2) | 22.69% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 64.06% ( 1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.66% ( 1.46) | 33.34% ( -1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.89% ( 1.65) | 55.11% ( -1.66) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.2% ( 0.42) | 11.79% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.99% ( 0.89) | 37% ( -0.89) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( 1.13) | 27.37% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.16% ( 1.45) | 62.83% ( -1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.32)1-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.78% Total : 56.67% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.63% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.66% Total : 22.69% |
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