SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
63.97% ( -0.77) | 20.19% ( 0.24) | 15.84% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.81% ( -0.06) | 42.19% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.4% ( -0.06) | 64.59% ( 0.05) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.49% ( -0.24) | 12.5% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.5% ( -0.49) | 38.5% ( 0.49) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% ( 0.65) | 39.6% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.71% ( 0.6) | 76.28% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.42% Total : 63.97% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.19% | 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.84% |
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