Both Sassuolo and Salernitana have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their first 11 Serie A games so far this season, so goals are to be expected in this fixture between two defensively-frail teams.
The pressure is mounting on Salernitana to get their season up and running as they attempt to climb out of the drop zone, but we believe that Sassuolo have enough quality in the final third to outscore their opponents and claim maximum points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.02) 
