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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 52.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for PAOK had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a PAOK win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | PAOK |
52.15% ( 0.36) | 24.18% ( -0.15) | 23.67% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.97% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.49% ( 0.43) | 48.51% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( 0.4) | 70.64% ( -0.39) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( 0.3) | 18.58% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.15% ( 0.51) | 49.84% ( -0.51) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.06% ( 0.06) | 34.94% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.32% ( 0.06) | 71.68% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | PAOK |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.14% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 23.67% |
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