Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
