This is a difficult match to call, and it would not be a surprise to see either of these sides advance to the next stage. Cheltenham are playing much better at the moment, though, and we are tipping the League One outfit to edge a close contest in order to progress to the next round.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
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