SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Ipswich Town |
40.22% ( -0.1) | 25.02% ( 0.03) | 34.75% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.99% ( -0.15) | 46% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.69% ( -0.14) | 68.31% ( 0.14) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( -0.11) | 22.75% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.57% ( -0.17) | 56.43% ( 0.17) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% ( -0.03) | 25.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.4% ( -0.04) | 60.6% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.23% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.75% |
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