Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Morecambe
58.91% ( 0.28)	22.95% ( 0.18)	18.14% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 48.74% (

-1.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.9% (

-1.43)

50.09% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.93% (

-1.29)

72.06% (

1.29)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.31% (

-0.41)

16.68% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.44% (

-0.74)

46.56% (

0.73)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.49% (

-1.38)

41.5% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22% (

-1.24)

78% (

1.23)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 58.9%

Morecambe 18.14%

Draw 22.95%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.9% Total : 58.9%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.95%	0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.14%