SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Nice had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Nice |
51.71% ( -0.53) | 24.05% ( 0.14) | 24.24% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% ( -0.23) | 47.4% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% ( -0.22) | 69.62% ( 0.22) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.67% ( -0.29) | 18.33% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.58% ( -0.5) | 49.42% ( 0.5) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% ( 0.21) | 33.83% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.51% ( 0.22) | 70.49% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 51.7% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.25% |
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