Having lost just one of their last seven league matches, Auxerre should have what it takes to edge out fellow strugglers Troyes, who have lost each of their previous five away encounters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.
