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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Feb 26, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
AA

Lorient
0 - 1
Auxerre


Meite (56'), Abergel (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Raveloson (58')
Toure (32'), Dembele (67'), Massengo (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 3-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Lyon
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lorient 3-0 Auxerre

Lorient put in a much-improved performance against Ajaccio last weekend, a team that are on the same points tally as Auxerre, and so they should have no trouble sweeping their opponents aside on Sunday. The White and Blues proved they have what it takes to go toe-to-toe with some of the better sides in the division in their last match, defeating Lyon, but their away record is very poor, and Lorient have been very impressive on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawAuxerre
43.66% (0.128 0.13) 25.52% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08) 30.82% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 54.37% (0.216 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (0.292 0.29)49.35% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (0.262 0.26)71.4% (-0.267 -0.27)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (0.184 0.18)22.54% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (0.274 0.27)56.12% (-0.28 -0.28)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.108 0.11)29.8% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.132 0.13)65.88% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 43.65%
    Auxerre 30.82%
    Draw 25.52%
LorientDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.48% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 43.65%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 30.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lorient 3-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lorient
Sunday, February 12 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Lens (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Angers
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 4-2 Lorient
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Rennes
Friday, January 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-1 Lyon
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-1 Auxerre
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-3 Rodez AF
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Auxerre 0-0 Reims
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Auxerre
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 0-2 Montpellier
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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