Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Grenoble had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Grenoble win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.