SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
39.88% ( -0.01) | 27.32% ( -0.01) | 32.8% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.45% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.99% ( 0.06) | 56.01% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.9% ( 0.05) | 77.1% ( -0.04) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.53% ( 0.03) | 27.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.04% ( 0.03) | 62.97% ( -0.03) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( 0.05) | 31.83% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.74% ( 0.05) | 68.27% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.73% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.8% |
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