SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
26.29% ( 0.26) | 26.27% ( 0.23) | 47.43% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 49.18% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% ( -0.71) | 54.73% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.95% ( -0.59) | 76.05% ( 0.59) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.94% ( -0.17) | 36.06% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.16% ( -0.17) | 72.84% ( 0.17) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( -0.53) | 23.08% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.09% ( -0.78) | 56.91% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 26.29% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.82% Total : 47.43% |
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