Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Akhmat Grozny	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
17.71% ( -0.02)	22.28% ( -0.03)	60.02% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52% (

0.07)

48% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.83% (

0.07)

70.17% (

-0.07)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.22% (

0.02)

40.78% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.64% (

0.02)

77.36% (

-0.02)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.42% (

0.04)

15.58% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.45% (

0.07)

44.55% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Akhmat Grozny 17.71%

Zenit St Petersburg 60.01%

Draw 22.27%

Akhmat Grozny	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 17.71%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.27%	0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 60.01%