SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 82.58%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 6.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 4-0 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.14%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 1-2 (1.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
82.58% ( -0.18) | 11.22% ( 0.09) | 6.2% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.29% ( -0.08) | 26.7% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.88% ( -0.1) | 47.11% ( 0.09) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.26% ( -0.05) | 4.74% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.82% ( -0.13) | 19.18% ( 0.13) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.28% ( 0.2) | 46.71% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.73% ( 0.15) | 82.27% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zenit St Petersburg | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 3-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.48% Total : 82.57% | 1-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 11.22% | 1-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.56% Total : 6.2% |
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