SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al-Hilal |
31.24% ( -1.17) | 23.79% ( 0.28) | 44.97% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 60.54% ( -1.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.63% ( -1.86) | 41.37% ( 1.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.23% ( -1.91) | 63.76% ( 1.9) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( -1.6) | 25.57% ( 1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.55% ( -2.23) | 60.45% ( 2.23) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.35% ( -0.38) | 18.65% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.02% ( -0.64) | 49.97% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.24% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.56)0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.47% Total : 44.97% |
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