We expect a meeting between the African champions and the winners of the Saudi Pro League to produce a close-fought contest in Friday's second-round tie. However, with Al Ittihad able to call upon the experience and talent of Fabinho, Kante and Benzema, we think that they will claim a narrow victory to set up a semi-final clash with Fluminense. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 24.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for an Al Ittihad win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.

Result
Al Ahly	Draw	Al Ittihad
49.49%	25.53%	24.98%

Both teams to score 50.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.2%

52.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57%

74.42%

Al Ahly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.64%

21.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.68%

54.32%

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.87%

36.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.09%

72.91%

Score Analysis

Al Ahly 49.49%

Al Ittihad 24.98%

Draw 25.52%

Al Ahly	Draw	Al Ittihad
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 9.2% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.38% Total : 49.49%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 4% 1-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.89% Total : 24.98%