SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ain | Draw | Al-Nassr |
45.82% ( 0.42) | 22.76% ( 0.17) | 31.41% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 64.39% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.65% ( -1.12) | 36.35% ( 1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.52% ( -1.24) | 58.48% ( 1.24) |
| Al-Ain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( -0.28) | 16.35% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.05% ( -0.51) | 45.95% ( 0.52) |
| Al-Nassr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( -0.87) | 23.02% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.16% ( -1.3) | 56.84% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ain | Draw | Al-Nassr |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.56% Total : 45.82% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.11% Total : 31.41% |
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