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AFC Champions League | Final | 2nd Leg
May 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium
YF

Al-Ain
5 - 1
Yokohama

Rahimi (8', 67'), Romero (33' pen.), Fo-Doh Laba (90+1', 90+5')
Rahimi (68'), Romero (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Yan (40')
Kewell (46')
Popp (45+10')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Yokohama 2-1 Al-Ain
Saturday, May 11 at 11am in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Al-Ain 2-1 Yokohama F Marinos (Aggregate 3-3 | Yokohama F Marinos to win on penalties)

Despite failing to win at home in the league since February, Al-Ain are a different beast on the continent, underlined by five wins in six. However, Yokohama are expected to score as they are wont to, and this one could go the distance, with the Japanese side possibly claiming their first final on penalties. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 38.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.91%) and 2-3 (4.55%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.

Result
Al-AinDrawYokohama F Marinos
38.69% (-0.061 -0.06) 21.5% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 39.81% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 71.46% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.01% (0.055999999999997 0.06)27.99% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.27% (0.072000000000003 0.07)48.73% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Al-Ain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.75% (0.049999999999997 0.05)15.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.07% (0.099000000000004 0.1)43.93% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ain 38.69%
    Yokohama F Marinos 39.81%
    Draw 21.5%
Al-AinDrawYokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 4.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 38.69%
1-1 @ 8.33% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 2.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.14% (0.008 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.32% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 39.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Yokohama 2-1 Al-Ain
Saturday, May 11 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al-Ain
Tuesday, April 23 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ain 4-2 Al-Hilal
Wednesday, April 17 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Ain (1-3 pen.)
Monday, March 11 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ain 1-0 Al-Nassr
Monday, March 4 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Ain 2-1 Nasaf
Wednesday, February 21 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Yokohama
Sunday, May 19 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-1 Yokohama
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-1 Al-Ain
Saturday, May 11 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Yokohama
Monday, May 6 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 1-1 Jubilo Iwata
Friday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, April 27 at 7am in J1 League


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