Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 38.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.91%) and 2-3 (4.55%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.
Result | ||
Al-Ain | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
38.69% ( -0.06) | 21.5% ( -0.01) | 39.81% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 71.46% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.01% ( 0.06) | 27.99% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.27% ( 0.07) | 48.73% ( -0.08) |
Al-Ain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.31% ( -0) | 15.69% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.25% ( 0) | 44.75% ( -0.01) |
Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.75% ( 0.05) | 15.25% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.07% ( 0.1) | 43.93% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Al-Ain | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.9% Total : 38.69% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.12% Total : 39.81% |
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