SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Ittihad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
38.33% ( 0.02) | 24.36% ( 0.13) | 37.32% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.13% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.4% ( -0.62) | 42.6% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.99% ( -0.62) | 65.01% ( 0.61) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( -0.26) | 22.2% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.39% ( -0.39) | 55.61% ( 0.39) |
| Al-Taawoun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( -0.36) | 22.71% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% ( -0.53) | 56.38% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ittihad | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.33% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.32% |
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