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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Mar 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
RS

Alaves
0 - 1
Real Sociedad


Guevara (62'), Abqar (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pacheco (59')
Merino (80'), Pacheco (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-2 Real Sociedad

Alaves have impressed this season, and they are more than capable of picking up a positive result on Sunday evening against a Real Sociedad outfit that have had their problems of late. The visitors have won their last two, though, and we are expecting a third straight success for Alguacil's side this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.68%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Sociedad
29.2% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 30.12% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 40.68% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.72% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.75% (0.076999999999998 0.08)66.25% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.24% (0.051 0.05)84.76% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.95% (0.092000000000006 0.09)40.05% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.3% (0.085999999999999 0.09)76.7% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)32.07% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 29.2%
    Real Sociedad 40.68%
    Draw 30.11%
AlavesDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 6.12% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 29.2%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 12.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.48% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 30.11%
0-1 @ 14.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 40.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Alaves
Monday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Mallorca
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 0-0 Alaves
Sunday, February 18 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 1-1 Villarreal
Saturday, February 10 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 Cadiz
Friday, March 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 2-3 Real Sociedad
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 PSG
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sevilla 3-2 Real Sociedad
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Mallorca (4-4 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-3 Villarreal
Friday, February 23 at 8pm in La Liga


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