Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
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