Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for York City had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
1.06) 
-0.09) 
