SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | St Johnstone |
21.11% ( 1.09) | 23.6% ( 0.76) | 55.29% ( -1.85) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.19% ( -1.83) | 48.81% ( 1.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.09% ( -1.68) | 70.91% ( 1.68) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.47% ( 0.07) | 37.53% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.69% ( 0.07) | 74.3% ( -0.07) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( -1.31) | 17.51% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.98% ( -2.33) | 48.02% ( 2.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.63% Total : 21.11% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 9.97% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.26)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.25)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.63% Total : 55.28% |
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