SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
35.53% ( 0.76) | 24.56% ( -0.14) | 39.9% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 59.19% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( 0.77) | 43.74% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.87% ( 0.75) | 66.13% ( -0.75) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% ( 0.79) | 24.19% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.48% ( 1.1) | 58.51% ( -1.1) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( 0.03) | 21.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% ( 0.05) | 55.19% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.53% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.9% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
