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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
SL

Almeria
2 - 2
Sevilla

Embarba (38'), Milovanovic (90+5')
Lopy (84'), Gonzalez (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lukebakio (81'), Ocampos (86')
Bade (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Almeria
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 3-2 Real Sociedad
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-2 Sevilla

Both sides will be missing some important players on Monday evening, and we are expecting it to be a tight match in terms of the scoreline. Sevilla are in good form, though, and the visitors should have enough quality to navigate their way to all three points in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
AlmeriaDrawSevilla
35.5% (0.435 0.44) 26.9% (0.188 0.19) 37.6% (-0.622 -0.62)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.55099999999999 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.02% (-0.72 -0.72)53.97% (0.72 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.58% (-0.606 -0.61)75.42% (0.60799999999999 0.61)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94% (-0.077999999999989 -0.08)29.06% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)64.97% (0.101 0.1)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.696 -0.7)27.8% (0.698 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-0.902 -0.9)63.39% (0.903 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 35.5%
    Sevilla 37.6%
    Draw 26.9%
AlmeriaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9.98% (0.256 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 35.5%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 10.34% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.62% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 37.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Almeria
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Atletico
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 1-1 Almeria
Sunday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, February 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Almeria
Saturday, February 3 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-3 Alaves
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 3-2 Real Sociedad
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Sevilla
Sunday, February 25 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, February 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Sevilla
Monday, February 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, January 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga


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