Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.33%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Amiens win was 1-0 (12.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Amiens	Draw	Bastia
33.53% ( 1.41)	29.82% ( -0.05)	36.65% ( -1.36)

Both teams to score 42.53% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.4% (

0.31)

64.6% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.39% (

0.22)

83.61% (

-0.22)

Amiens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.17% (

1.2)

35.83% (

-1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.39% (

1.21)

72.61% (

-1.21)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.28% (

-0.71)

33.72% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63% (

-0.77)

70.37% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Amiens 33.53%

Bastia 36.64%

Draw 29.82%

Amiens	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.02% Total : 33.53%	1-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.82%	0-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.64%