Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Arbroath	Draw	Dumbarton
37.84% ( -0.58)	26.27% ( 0.12)	35.89% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 53.3% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65% (

-0.48)

51.34% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83% (

-0.42)

73.17% (

0.42)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57% (

-0.54)

26.42% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.41% (

-0.73)

61.59% (

0.73)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

0.05)

27.55% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.93% (

0.06)

63.07% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Arbroath 37.84%

Dumbarton 35.89%

Draw 26.27%

Arbroath	Draw	Dumbarton
1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.84%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.89%