SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
25.71% ( 0.06) | 24.87% ( 0.03) | 49.41% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.91% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.38% ( -0.07) | 49.61% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.36% ( -0.06) | 71.63% ( 0.06) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.22% ( 0.01) | 33.78% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.56% ( 0.01) | 70.44% ( -0.01) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( -0.06) | 20.1% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( -0.1) | 52.34% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 25.71% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 49.41% |
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