SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.62%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Banfield |
53.39% ( -0.04) | 27.85% ( -0.04) | 18.76% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 37.34% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.21% ( 0.17) | 65.79% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.56% ( 0.12) | 84.44% ( -0.12) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( 0.06) | 25.22% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.04% ( 0.08) | 59.96% ( -0.08) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.93% ( 0.2) | 50.07% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.3% ( 0.14) | 84.71% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 17.39% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 53.38% | 0-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.08) 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 18.76% |
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