SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
37.71% ( 0.56) | 28.03% ( -0.03) | 34.27% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 47.61% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.56% ( 0.05) | 58.44% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.97% ( 0.04) | 79.03% ( -0.04) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( 0.36) | 29.91% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34% ( 0.44) | 66.01% ( -0.44) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( -0.33) | 32.08% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.45% ( -0.37) | 68.55% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.71% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.26% |
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