Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 28, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona
Heredia (7'),
Batallini (18' pen.)
Jose Cardozo (45+3'), Agustin Coronel Alarcon (48'), Nicolas Gomez (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Arevalo (39')
Orzusa (14'),
Silva (16'),
Blasi (45+2'), Alberto Gomez Benitez (76')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Argentinos Juniors and Club Nacional.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 11.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Club Nacional |
70.59% ( -0) | 18.06% ( 0.01) | 11.35% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.4% ( -0.04) |
| 57.12% ( -0.04) | 42.88% ( 0.04) |
| 34.71% ( -0.04) | 65.28% ( 0.04) |
| 89.09% ( -0.01) | 10.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.92% ( -0.03) | 35.08% ( 0.03) |
| 53.2% ( -0.03) | 46.8% ( 0.04) |
