Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 14, 2024 at 11pm UK
Complejo Daniel Marsicano
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bailone (53' pen.)
Gaona Lugo (90+4'), Santacruz (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Racing de Montevideo and Club Nacional.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Club Nacional had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Club Nacional win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.
| Result |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Club Nacional |
42.25% ( -0.01) | 27.65% | 30.1% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.55% ( 0.01) |
| 42.04% ( 0.01) | 57.96% ( -0) |
| 21.34% ( 0.01) | 78.66% ( -0) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| 72.91% ( -0) | 27.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.52% ( -0) | 62.47% ( 0) |
| 65.23% ( 0.01) | 34.77% ( -0.01) |
