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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 1
May 11, 2024 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
3 - 2
Rosario

Alvarez (21'), Lescano (45+8' pen.), Gondou (58')
Santamaria (89')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Modica (6'), Heredia (41' og.)
Quintana (45+6'), Martinez (66'), Malcorra (90+5'), Komar (90+3')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Rosario Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRosario Central
56.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 19.21% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 46.58% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)53.94% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.02 -0.02)75.39% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)18.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.48% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)50.52% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)42.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.12% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)78.88% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 56.46%
    Rosario Central 19.21%
    Draw 24.32%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 13.4%
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 56.46%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 4.91%
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 19.21%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Velez Sarsfield (2-4 pen.)
Sunday, April 28 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Defensa (3-2 pen.)
Saturday, April 20 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 3-3 Barracas Central
Tuesday, April 16 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-3 Racing
Tuesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Rosario 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Caracas 1-1 Rosario
Tuesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Deportivo Riestra
Wednesday, April 17 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Rosario
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Rosario
Monday, April 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Penarol
Thursday, April 4 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores


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