SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 72.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 10.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 3-0 (9.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
72.25% ( -0.04) | 17.72% ( 0.01) | 10.03% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.8% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.9% ( 0.01) | 45.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.55% ( 0.01) | 67.45% ( -0.01) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.92% ( -0.01) | 11.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.54% ( -0.02) | 35.46% ( 0.02) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.26% ( 0.05) | 50.74% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.83% ( 0.04) | 85.17% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 2-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 12.37% 3-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.77% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.72% 5-0 @ 2.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 72.25% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 17.72% | 0-1 @ 3.82% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 10.03% |
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