SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
50.67% ( -0.38) | 27.94% ( -0.07) | 21.39% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 40.23% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.13% ( 0.55) | 63.87% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.91% ( 0.4) | 83.09% ( -0.39) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.08) | 25.6% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( 0.1) | 60.49% ( -0.09) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.07% ( 0.82) | 45.93% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.34% ( 0.63) | 81.67% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 16.02% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 50.66% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.42% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.39% |
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