Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
-0.02) 
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